what happens if one buys , that best Year-to-Date one day gain on $SPY

best Year-to-Date one day gain% on $SPY 

below the trading strategy rules

1) Current day gains are the best one day gains ( in percentage) , Year-To-Date

2) Current day is not in the , First Quarter (the rationale is ,  just giving room to set a benchmark for the best year-to-date gain % )

below the trading odds for $SPY longs for the next 1/2/3/4/5/ trading days , since Y2K

Date $SPY t % t+1 % t+2 % t+3 % t+4 % t+5 % 1st +’ve % 1st -‘ve %
21-Oct-14 194.07 1.98 ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ??
8-Oct-14 196.64 1.75 -1.98 -3.1 -4.69 -4.55 -5.19 -5.19 -1.98
29-Jun-12 124.08 2.49 0.3 0.96 0.51 -0.44 -0.57 0.3 -0.44
6-Jun-12 119.08 2.26 0.05 0.85 -0.42 0.72 0.07 0.05 -0.42
9-Aug-11 102.70 4.65 -4.41 -0.13 0.55 2.66 1.79 0.55 -4.41
10-May-10 96.66 4.4 -0.28 1.12 -0.14 -1.95 -1.89 1.12 -0.28
13-Oct-08 78.63 14.52 -1.48 -11.18 -7.49 -8.03 -2.51 -2.51 -1.48
19-Sep-08 96.28 4.56 -2.25 -4.48 -4.18 -2.68 -2.63 -2.63 -2.25
28-Nov-07 109.45 3.21 0.03 1.04 0.37 -0.53 1.14 0.03 -0.53
13-Nov-07 110.16 3.05 -0.29 -1.71 -1.55 -2.92 -2.33 -2.33 -0.29
18-Sep-07 112.34 2.94 0.6 -0.11 0.63 0.45 0.25 0.6 -0.11
29-Aug-07 107.98 1.96 -0.26 0.71 1.73 0.85 1.09 0.71 -0.26
17-Aug-07 106.63 1.84 -0.05 0.15 1.35 1.24 2.51 0.15 -0.05
15-Jun-06 88.82 2.12 -0.29 -1.08 -0.73 -0.01 -0.44 -0.44 -0.29
21-Apr-05 78.90 1.96 -0.39 0.27 -0.7 -0.32 -1.58 0.27 -0.39
1-Oct-04 75.51 1.69 0.16 0.21 0.91 -0.17 -1 0.16 -0.17
7-Jun-04 75.03 1.52 0.14 -0.8 -0.3 -1.3 -0.59 0.14 -0.8
25-May-04 73.16 1.42 0.36 0.92 0.91 0.78 1.15 0.36 1.15
22-Apr-04 74.74 1.41 0.08 -0.06 0.04 -1.26 -2.12 0.08 -0.06
24-Jul-02 52.29 5.97 -0.86 1.03 5.97 7.35 7.6 1.03 -0.86
5-Jul-02 61.29 3.96 -1.24 -3.72 -7.24 -6.49 -7.51 -7.51 -1.24
8-May-02 66.81 3.72 -1.14 -3 -1.04 1.12 0.71 1.12 -1.14
16-Apr-02 69.38 2.36 -0.19 -0.64 -0.28 -1.94 -2.35 -2.35 -0.19
avg -0.61 -1.03 -0.72 -0.79 -0.65 -0.74 -0.75
med -0.27 -0.09 -0.21 -0.38 -0.58 0.15 -0.41

21/22 times $SPY closed lower than the entry at some point of time , over the next five trading days , after $SPY posts the biggest one day percentage gains , Year-to-Date , as of current trading day .

$SPY posts biggest YTD one day % gains , as of today , but not in First Quarter

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