# $SPX gains by more than 10% in the first half year

With S&P 500 Index ( $SPX) gaining by 12.63% for the first half of the year , below the details with how $SPX fared over the next 1 month , 1 quarter , and for the rest of the year , since 1950

this is the 20th instance of $SPX gaining more than 10% in the first half of the year , since 1950. The last $SPX gained more than 10% was in 2003 !

**Winning odds for the next month after $SPX gains by more than 10% in the first HY**

- Winners : 11
- Losers : 8
- % Winners : 58%
- Average Change % : 1.73
- Median Change % : 3.18
- Maximum Gain % : 8.84
- Maximum Loss % : -6.77
- Average Gain %if Winner : 4.97
- Average Loss % if Loser : -2.73
- Average Gain % / Average Loss % : 1.82

Average change for any random one month holding period stands at 0.69% , since 1950

**Winning odds for the next Quarter ( i.e 3 month holding period) after $SPX gains by more than 10% in the first HY**

- Winners : 12
- Losers : 7
- % Winners : 63%
- Average Change % : 1.69
- Median Change % : 3.23
- Maximum Gain % : 10.65
- Maximum Loss % : -11.89
- Average Gain %if Winner : 6.27
- Average Loss % if Loser : -6.16
- Average Gain % / Average Loss % : 1.02

Average change for any random three month holding period stands at 2.01%

** Winning odds for the next Half Year ( i.e 6 month holding period) after $SPX gains by more than 10% in first HY**

- Winners : 15
- Losers : 4
**% Winners : 79%****Average Change % : 7.09**- Median Change % : 9.64
- Maximum Gain % : 23.18
**Maximum Loss % : -18.72**- Average Gain %if Winner : 10.91
- Average Loss % if Loser : -7.26
- Average Gain % / Average Loss % : 1.50

Average change for any random six month holding period stands at 4.23% , since 1950

Below the table with $SPX change % details for the next 1 Month, 1 Quarter , and rest of the year after **$SPX gains by more than 10% in the first HY**

**you might want to consider subscribing to our daily quant rants email !!**

**check out ****Quant-Ideas
**

Pingback: What I’m Reading This Weekend | System Trading with Woodshedder

Pingback: What I’m Reading This Weekend – Daily Breakout