Callan–Symanzik equation applicability to predict major $SPX crashes
as we all know , in quantum electrodynamics the Callan–Symanzik equation takes the form
being n and m the number of electrons and photons respectively.
modifying n for “Wicksellian interest rate” ( refer to Ben S. Bernanke ‘s blog post Why are interest rates so low? dated March 30, 2015 6:01am, , to understand the dynamics of Wicksellian interest rate )
, and m for the
, i’e the time elapsed between the worst 20 day percentage changes in $SPX ( S&P 500 cash index) ,
note is the golden ratio multiplied by the prior $SPX crash date expressed in UNIX time-stamp format.
Below were the prior instances where the above modified Callan–Symanzik equation predicted the $SPX upcoming crashes in percentage terms ( 20-day non interleaving ) , since 1950 , mind you it has a perfect 100 % record thus far …
t+20 % , is the change in the next 20 trading days in percentage terms ..
ps: #FWIW the listed dates above are the worst 20-day non-interleaving performances for $SPX