# $DJIA & $SPX gains for 7 weeks in row

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with $SPX and $DJIA gaining for 7 weeks in row , below the trading odds for the next 1/2/3/4/5 trading weeks , assuming one goes long at the close of the week ( i.e 22 Nov 2013 in this case , and exits over the next 1 week at close ( t+1 ) and so on ..

**1) when ever $SPX gains for 7 or more weeks in row , since 1950.**

Exit |
# |
Wins |
% Wins |
Avg% |
Med% |
Avg Win % |
Avg Loss % |
Pay Off |
Max Loss % |

t+1 | 60 | 33 | 55.0 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 1.04 | -0.86 | 1.21 | -2.08 |

t+2 | 60 | 33 | 55.0 | 0.37 | 0.16 | 1.42 | -0.92 | 1.55 | -2.91 |

t+3 | 60 | 39 | 65.0 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 1.61 | -1.05 | 1.54 | -3.32 |

t+4 | 60 | 41 | 68.3 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 2.17 | -1.18 | 1.84 | -5.53 |

t+5 |
60 |
46 |
76.7 |
1.39 |
1.41 |
2.23 |
-1.34 |
1.66 |
-5.28 |

Swing High |
60 |
57 |
95.0 |
0.82 |
0.71 |
1.01 |
-2.82 |
0.36 |
-5.28 |

Swing high ( for bulls) row is , assuming one goes long at then exits at first profitable close , or exit at the end of the fifth trading day with loss.

**57/60 ( 95% ) times $SPX closed higher** over the next 5 trading weeks at some weekly close .

**2) when ever $SPX gains for exactly 7 weeks in row , since 1950.**

Exit | # | Wins | % Wins | Avg% | Med% | Avg Win % | Avg Loss % | Pay Off | Max Loss % |

t+1 | 27 | 16 | 59.3 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 1.35 | -0.67 | 2.00 | -1.50 |

t+2 | 27 | 17 | 63.0 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.52 | -0.90 | 1.69 | -2.91 |

t+3 | 27 | 17 | 63.0 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 1.78 | -1.14 | 1.56 | -3.32 |

t+4 |
27 |
19 |
70.4 |
1.24 |
1.53 |
2.49 |
-1.72 |
1.45 |
-5.53 |

t+5 |
27 |
20 |
74.1 |
1.47 |
1.56 |
2.60 |
-1.77 |
1.47 |
-5.28 |

Swing High |
27 |
25 |
92.6 |
0.86 |
0.89 |
1.19 |
-3.17 |
0.37 |
-5.28 |

**25/27 ( 93% ) times $SPX closed higher** over the next 5 trading weeks at some weekly close .

**3) when ever $DJIA gains for 7 or more weeks in row , since 1900.**

Exit | # | Wins | % Wins | Avg% | Med% | Avg Win % | Avg Loss % | Pay Off | Max Loss % |

t+1 | 107 | 65 | 60.7 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 1.28 | -1.29 | 0.99 | -4.76 |

t+2 | 107 | 62 | 57.9 | 0.34 | 0.67 | 1.84 | -1.72 | 1.07 | -12.60 |

t+3 | 107 | 72 | 67.3 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 1.86 | -2.58 | 0.72 | -9.85 |

t+4 | 107 | 70 | 65.4 | 0.49 | 1.10 | 2.34 | -3.01 | 0.78 | -16.54 |

t+5 | 107 | 72 | 67.3 | 0.57 | 1.33 | 2.76 | -3.92 | 0.70 | -18.37 |

Swing High |
107 |
97 |
90.7 |
0.40 |
0.82 |
1.19 |
-7.17 |
0.17 |
-18.37 |

**97/107 ( 91% ) times $DJIA closed higher** over the next 5 trading weeks at some weekly close .

that max loss of -18.37% occurred during from the week of 2nd Sep 1932 over the next 5 weeks .

**4) when ever $DJIA gains for exactly 7 weeks in row , since 1900.**

Exit |
# |
Wins |
% Wins |
Avg% |
Med% |
Avg Win % |
Avg Loss % |
Pay Off |
Max Loss % |

t+1 |
42 |
32 |
76.2 |
0.75 |
0.78 |
1.31 |
-1.05 |
1.25 |
-1.87 |

t+2 | 42 | 29 | 69.0 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 2.02 | -0.98 | 2.05 | -2.30 |

t+3 | 42 | 33 | 78.6 | 0.77 | 0.86 | 2.09 | -4.10 | 0.51 | -9.85 |

t+4 | 42 | 30 | 71.4 | 0.88 | 1.43 | 2.55 | -3.29 | 0.78 | -12.95 |

t+5 | 42 | 30 | 71.4 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 3.12 | -4.77 | 0.65 | -14.80 |

Swing High |
42 |
41 |
97.6 |
1.03 |
0.90 |
1.21 |
-6.43 |
0.19 |
-6.43 |

**41/42 ( 98% ) times $DJIA closed higher** over the next 5 trading weeks at some weekly close .

that max loss of -6.42% came during the week starting from 14 May 1965 , over the next five trading weeks .

conclusion : more upside coming ??

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